This Year's Oscars

The nominations are in. Of the nominations for Best Picture, I've seen: Winter's Bone, True Grit, Black Swan, and The King's Speech. I think I'll go with the conventional wisdom and predict The King's Speech as Best Picture winner, and the Best Actor for Colin Firth - he was outstanding. I was not greatly impressed with Black Swan, but won't be surprised to see Natalie Portman get Best Actress.